In the several years I’ve been writing this blog, I’ve seldom written
about the Russian planetary program as a whole.
I’ve written about individual missions but I’ve not put all the pieces
together since 2009.
A request from a reader and the quiet announcement last month that NASA
and its Russian counterpart Roscosmos are investigating options for joint Venus
missions piqued my interest.
Russia's Roscosmos and the United State's NASA space agencies are investigating a possible joint Venus mission. Credit: Roscosmos
Two problems have stopped me from updating the big picture of Russian
plans. First, there seems to be
relatively little information in English on the overall program and for
specific missions. Second, I have found
it hard to distinguish what is a concept under consideration, what is a mission
on the roadmap but not yet funded, and what is a mission in development with
secure funding. The problem may well be
that I don’t read and write Russian – all this information may be available if
internet searches are done in Russian instead of English. (If any of my readers know of good web sites,
please pass them along. Even if they are
in Russian, Google translate does a pretty good job.)
For much of my information on the Russian space program, I have
depended on writer and space historian Anatoly Zak and his RussianSpaceWeb.com.
Fate has not been kind to the Russian planetary program since the
breakup of the Soviet Union. Its Mars-96
mission was lost during a launch failure.
Then in 2011, the Phobos-Grunt mission was lost after it failed to
respond to commands following launch.
Since then, the Russian program is following a two-pronged approach to rebuild
its planetary program. For this decade,
it is planning a series of solo lunar missions to build up its own design,
testing, and operations capabilities.
Simultaneously, it has built a partnership with the European Space
Agency (ESA) to explore Mars. The
earliest explorations of a potential partnership with NASA for Venus missions
have just started.
After reading Zak’s web site, ESA’s website, and reading a number of
news accounts, what follows is the best picture I’ve been able to put together
of Russia’s planetary plans.
Near term missions
ExoMars orbiter - 2016
ExoMars rover and science
station - 2018
Luna-25
(Glob) polar lander - 2016
Luna-26
(Glob) orbiter - 2018
Luna-27
(Resurs) lander - 2019
Concepts for the 2020s
From what I can tell, these missions are concepts and not approved or
funded missions. Launch dates therefore
are likely to be notional for planning purposes rather than commitments.
Luna-Grunt
sample return - 2021
Mars sample return - 2024
Ganymede lander - late
2020s
This is an ambitious list, especially for the early 2020s. Zak reports that the numbers of engineers and
scientists to build, test, and operate these missions are small. Russia is enhancing the impact its resources
have through partnerships with other space agencies. Still, several of the concepts seem likely to
be dropped unless Russia invests substantially more resources to its
program.
Cooperative Missions with ESA
Russia and ESA have signed agreements that make Russia a substantial
partner in both of ESA’s Mars missions this decade. Russia will make crucial contributions to
both ExoMars missions:
ExoMars orbiter and demonstration lander 2016
Russia to provide
launch
Russian-supplied
instruments for the orbiter:
Atmospheric Chemistry Suite
(3 infrared spectrometers)
Fine Resolution Epithermal Neutron Detector
(high resolution mapping of near-surface water ice)
ExoMars rover & science station 2018
Russia to provide
launch
Russia to provide entry
and landing system with ESA contributions
Russian-supplied instruments
for the rover:
Infrared Spectrometer
for ExoMars
Adron
(detect subsurface water and hydrated minerals)
[previously,
a 3rd instrument, a laser spectrometer was listed as a Russian
instrument but is not currently listed on ESA’s ExoMars webpage]
Russia will need to develop substantial new capabilities to land the
large 2018 ExoMars rover. It previously
has not landed a large planetary probe on any world except on the very
different Venus (and then as part of the Soviet Union series of landers that
ended in 1986). ESA plans to share the
technology it develops from its planned 2016 demonstration lander with
Russia.
Russia has previously discussed using the 2018 ExoMars landing stage as
a long-lived weather and geophysical station.
I have not seen any discussion of this recently. If this does happen and the station has a
seismometer, joint seismological studies with NASA’s InSight mission could be
done to improve upon the science either instrument could do on its own.
In addition to Mars missions, managers for the European and Russian
space agencies have stated
that they are discussing Russian participation in ESA’s JUICE Jovian
system-Ganymede orbiter mission. Russia
could contribute the launch vehicle and in return be provided payload space for
instruments on the JUICE orbiter or for a small Ganymede lander.
The Moon
Russia's planned lunar missions. Credit ESA
Russia has been planning a series of missions to the moon for about the
last 15 to 20 years. More recently, the
planning included a partnership with India that was dropped following the Phobos-Grunt
mission’s failure. Since 2012, a series
of three Russian-ledonly missions have been planned. An ESA website announcing Russia’s interest
in European scientist participation in the missions provides the best summary
I’ve found of the current plans:
· “Luna-25 is a small technology [demonstration]
lander with a limited payload, which will target a high latitude [near polar]
landing side in the southern hemisphere on the near side.
· “Luna-26 will be a polar orbiting spacecraft
which will operate from one year at 100 – 150 km and then for 2 years at 500 –
700km altitude, providing communications relay capabilities for missions which
follow.
· “Luna-27 is a larger lander with an enhanced
payload capability. The mission will have near polar landing site in
the southern hemisphere, targeting frozen volatiles in the sub surface.”
Since 2012 the launch dates for these missions have slipped to the
dates shown above. Zak’s
website states that resources to develop these missions may be scarce: “Even
these postponed launch dates remain far from being guaranteed, because lunar
missions alternate in the flight manifest with two joint Russian-European
launches to Mars, which themselves face a considerable time pressure but have a
much better chance of getting the priority in development due to their
international nature. (Many aspects of the Russian planetary exploration
program are developed and supported by the same institutions with a relatively
small team of scientists and engineers, limiting parallel work on multiple projects.).” Zak concludes, “Luna-Glob
is currently scheduled to lift off in 2015 or 2016, but could be easily
postponed by months or even years to complete its development.”
Venus
Venus missions were a major success for the Soviet Union’s planetary
program. For the last decade, Russia has
been investigating options for a return to Venus known as Venera-D. All versions of the plans I’ve seen have
included a short-lived (few hours) lander and an orbiter. Various versions have also included balloons
for atmospheric studies. Currently, a
possible date of 2024 is shown for a mission with a single large, short-lived
lander, a small lander that would survive a day, and two orbiters.
Towards the end of December 2013, NASA quietly announced that it was
seeking scientists to study requirements for a possible joint US and Russian
Venus missions “undertaking complementary and coordinated missions to Venus
using the 2021-2023 launch opportunities.”
The potential scope of the missions was left vague. The US Venus mission concept referred to in
the announcement was a particularly ambitious
plan that included a large, capable orbiter, two balloons, and two large,
short-lived landers. Presumably, the US
contribution under discussion would be much less ambitious, perhaps a smaller
orbiter, a balloon, or a lander. (It’s
not clear, however, where NASA would find the funding in its planetary program
for its contribution.)
Numerous studies have looked at the types of missions needed to advance
Venus exploration, and they have concluded that concurrent and synergistic
orbiter, balloon, and lander missions would be ideal. By cooperating, Russia and NASA could
potentially substantially enhance the scientific return beyond what either
could accomplish alone.
Other Concept for Future Missions
The Boomerang Phobos mission would be a second try (after the failed Phobos-Grunt mission) to return a sample from the Martian moon.
The Ganymede lander study is for an ambitious orbiter and soft lander
mission that would be similar to a concept previously studied for a Europa
orbiter and lander (see summary here). NASA studied a similarly capable Europa
lander and concluded that it would be a highly complex mission.
Line of sight is a problem with lunar PSR exploration. I am delighted Russia hopes to put in place a relay sat and explore the poles on the ground.
ReplyDeleteSince I was a kid I've always admired the Russian passion for space exploration. I wish them the best.
The good thing is that the Russian program looks a bit less Mars obsessed than NASA's.
ReplyDeleteThe bad is that they seem to have too many failures and a big risk for ESA's lander.
I'd go for a Ceres lander/rover rather than Ganymede. Probably easier and potentially even more interesting after the discovery of the possible plumes there. Certainly I'd wait for Dawn's results before deciding.
"Venera-D" is a questionable mission name.
ReplyDelete